Decision brief · what the records say, not our assessment
Study to Evaluate Tolerability of Iberdomide (CC-220) in Combination With Polatuzumab Vedotin Plus Rituximab or Tafasitamab or Rituximab Plus Chemotherapy in B-cell Lymphoma
NCT04882163 · Celgene · PHASE1/PHASE2 · withdrawn · Open Targets disease: prurigo nodularis · Why it stopped
Six questions a reader deciding whether to spend more time on this asks, each answered with flags: yes, no, or not published (hatched), each with its rule and source record. Flags are never added up into a score or a verdict, because published success rates disagree by a factor of two and more.
1. Is the biology right?
- Somatic driver evidence: no · None of CRBN, DDB1, CUL4A, CD79B, TUBB4B, TUBB1, CD19 has somatic-mutation evidence in prurigo nodularisRule: Open Targets has somatic-mutation evidence for the target in this cancer. Source: Open Targets: CRBN in prurigo nodularis, 2026-11-11
- Human genetic evidence: no · No germline or somatic evidence for CRBN, DDB1, CUL4A, CD79B, TUBB4B, TUBB1, CD19 in prurigo nodularisRule: Any germline or somatic human genetic evidence for the target in this cancer, counted apart from animal-model and literature evidence. Source: Open Targets: CRBN in prurigo nodularis, 2026-11-11
- Pediatric target: yes · CD79B, CD19 on the FDA listRule: Target is on FDA's Pediatric Molecular Target List (relevant targets); membership alone neither requires nor waives a study. Source: FDA Pediatric Molecular Target List (Listed as February 2026 on the FDA Pediatric Oncology page; the file served is 9.7.22_the_relevant_molecular_target_list.xlsx, whose Summary of Changes sheet is headed 'SEPTEMBER 2022 UPDATE' (footnote date 2022-09-01)), 2026-11-11
- Haematologic cancer: yes · HaematologicRule: From the indication, or the registry conditions when no indication matches. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04882163, 2026-11-11Published context: Likelihood of approval from phase 1: 7.5% haematologic vs 4.6% solid (BIO / Informa / QLS 2021, 2011–2020). Population-level, not a prediction.
- Background therapy: Rituximab, Lenalidomide: standard agents, not counted in these flags.
- CRBN (via CC-220): Open Targets has no association between CRBN and prurigo nodularis. · Open Targets: CRBN in prurigo nodularis
- DDB1 (via CC-220): Open Targets has no association between DDB1 and prurigo nodularis. · Open Targets: DDB1 in prurigo nodularis
- CUL4A (via CC-220): Open Targets has no association between CUL4A and prurigo nodularis. · Open Targets: CUL4A in prurigo nodularis
- CD79B (via Polatuzumab vedotin): Open Targets has no association between CD79B and prurigo nodularis. · Open Targets: CD79B in prurigo nodularis
- TUBB4B (via Polatuzumab vedotin): Open Targets has no association between TUBB4B and prurigo nodularis. · Open Targets: TUBB4B in prurigo nodularis
- TUBB1 (via Polatuzumab vedotin): Open Targets has no association between TUBB1 and prurigo nodularis. · Open Targets: TUBB1 in prurigo nodularis
- CD19 (via Tafasitamab): Open Targets has no association between CD19 and prurigo nodularis. · Open Targets: CD19 in prurigo nodularis
- Not loaded on this app yet: Normal-tissue expression in vital organs. Source: Human Protein Atlas (ticket 36).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Pan-essential in cell lines. Source: DepMap (ticket 36).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Approved drug on this target. Source: Drugs@FDA (ticket 30).
2. Can the result be trusted?
- Randomised: no · Non-randomisedRule: Registry allocation field. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04882163, 2026-11-11
- Small denominator: yes · 0 enrolled; each patient moves a rate by 100 ÷ 0 = – pointsRule: Enrolment under 30; the arithmetic is shown, not a benchmark. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04882163, 2026-11-11
- Primary endpoint is overall survival: no · Maximum Tolerated Dose (MTD); Recommended Phase 2 Dose (RP2D); Best Overall Response Rate (ORR)Rule: A registered primary outcome measure names overall survival. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04882163, 2026-11-11Published context: Non-OS primary endpoint: odds ratio 2.79 for a positive phase 3 (Otsuka 2021, 400 phase 3 oncology trials, to 2020). Shown with the next figure: a surrogate is easier to hit, and often a weak guide to survival.Published context: 52% of surrogate-to-OS correlations are low (Prasad 2015, published to 2014). Shown with the figure above.
- Results overdue: no · Primary completion expected 2026-04-08; not yet dueRule: Primary completion (actual) more than 12 months ago and no results posted to the registry. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04882163, 2026-11-11
- Not loaded on this app yet: Treated and evaluable counts, assessor, confirmed response, follow-up and data cutoff. Source: Readout extraction (ticket 32).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Primary endpoint changed between registry versions. Source: Registry versions in the store (ticket 32).
3. What must it beat?
- Not loaded on this app yet: Control-arm result and approved therapies for the same segment, with label links. Source: Drugs@FDA, FDA labels and readouts (tickets 30, 32).
4. Too crowded, or too late?
- Stopped on this target: 68 terminated, withdrawn or suspended trials of drugs against CRBN; 3 give no reason. Reasons are quoted as the registry gives them on the target page. · CRBN: what already stopped
- Not loaded on this app yet: Programs on the target by phase and months behind the leader. Source: Programs and Drugs@FDA (ticket 33).
5. Can it be approved, and stay approved?
- Single-country: no · 27 sites in 8 countries; 3 in the United States (11%)Rule: All listed sites are in one country; the share of US sites is shown. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04882163, 2026-11-11
- EU paediatric investigation plan: yes · EMEA-002499-PIP03-24 (tafasitamab, Treatment of mature B-cell neoplasms excluding diffuse large B-cell lymphoma): W: decision granting a waiver in all age groups for all conditions or indications, 13 Sept 2024; EMEA-002499-PIP02-19 (tafasitamab, Treatment of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma): W: decision granting a waiver in all age groups for all conditions or indications, 16 Aug 2019; EMEA-002255-PIP01-17 (polatuzumab vedotin, Treatment of mature B-cell neoplasms): W: decision granting a waiver in all age groups for all conditions or indications, 11 Apr 2018Rule: An EMA PIP decision (agreement, modification or waiver) lists the drug as its active substance, exact name. Source: EMA data download (dated snapshot), 2026-11-11
- EU orphan designation: yes · EU/3/25/3027 positive 26 Feb 2025: Treatment of follicular lymphoma; EU/3/18/2013 positive 16 Apr 2018: Treatment of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma; EU/3/14/1286 positive 4 Jul 2014: Treatment of chronic lymphocytic leukaemia / small lymphocytic lymphoma; EU/3/14/1424 positive 15 Jan 2015: Treatment of diffuse large B-cell lymphomaRule: An EU orphan designation lists the drug as its active substance (exact name) or belongs to a medicine that does; withdrawn and expired designations are listed with their status. Source: EMA data download (dated snapshot), 2026-11-11
- Authorised in the EU: yes · Polivy: authorised since 16 Jan 2020, orphan medicine; Minjuvi: authorised since 26 Aug 2021, orphan medicine, conditionalRule: An EMA medicine record lists the drug as its active substance or INN, exact name; national-only authorisations are not in this file. Source: EMA data download (dated snapshot), 2026-11-11
- FDA orphan designation: not published · FDA's orphan designation database turns away automated requests, so this app does not read it; search it by hand at the linkRule: Would be: an FDA orphan designation names the drug. Source: FDA orphan designations search
- FDA pediatric oncology approval: no · FDA's table lists no pediatric approval of CC-220, Polatuzumab vedotin, Tafasitamab, BendamustineRule: FDA's Pediatric Oncology Drug Approvals table names the drug. Source: FDA Pediatric Oncology Drug Approvals (content current as of 2026-03-03), 2026-11-11
- Registered studies open to children: yes · 28 interventional studies of CC-220, Polatuzumab vedotin, Tafasitamab, Bendamustine include patients under 18; 15 are recruiting, not yet recruiting or activeRule: The registry's age group includes Child (birth to 17 years), which also counts studies that set no minimum age. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov search, 2026-11-11
- Caveat: Site counts are not patients per country, and trials registered only outside ClinicalTrials.gov are not covered. Where the sites are is a fact about the record, not a judgement of its quality.
- Rare pediatric disease voucher: FDA, content current as of 29 Apr 2026: “As of February 3, 2026, enactment of the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2026, the rare pediatric disease PRV program will sunset after September 30, 2029. FDA may not award any PRVs under this program after September 30, 2029.” Voucher sale prices are not shown here; they appear only as company-reported news. · FDA: Rare Pediatric Disease Designation and Priority Review Voucher Programs
- Not loaded on this app yet: Precedent approvals for target, modality and endpoint; accelerated-approval status. Source: Drugs@FDA and FDA accelerated-approval tables (ticket 30).
6. Can the sponsor finish?
- Sponsor: Celgene (industry) · ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04882163
- study director: Bristol-Myers Squibb, Bristol-Myers Squibb · Person page
- Not loaded on this app yet: Filed cash, quarterly spend and the runway arithmetic. Source: SEC XBRL company facts (ticket 37).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Sponsor's completed vs stopped oncology trials and results-reporting record. Source: Registry, by company (ticket 37).
What public data cannot tell you
Public records cannot show: sales forecasts; a probability of success for this asset; full deal terms and net prices; FDA designations and action dates before approval (shown only as company-reported); clinical holds unless the company disclosed them; manufacturing; patents on unapproved drugs; whether preclinical findings have been replicated.
Sources: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04882163 (2026-11-11); Open Targets Platform (2026-11-11); FDA Pediatric Molecular Target List (Listed as February 2026 on the FDA Pediatric Oncology page; the file served is 9.7.22_the_relevant_molecular_target_list.xlsx, whose Summary of Changes sheet is headed 'SEPTEMBER 2022 UPDATE' (footnote date 2022-09-01)) (2026-11-11). JSON: /api/brief/trial/NCT04882163. Not medical advice.