Decision brief · what the records say, not our assessment
Masitinib in the Treatment of Patients With Primary Progressive or Non-active Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis
NCT05441488 · AB Science · PHASE3 · suspended · Open Targets disease: chronic progressive multiple sclerosis · Why it stopped
Six questions a reader deciding whether to spend more time on this asks, each answered with flags: yes, no, or not published (hatched), each with its rule and source record. Flags are never added up into a score or a verdict, because published success rates disagree by a factor of two and more.
1. Is the biology right?
- Somatic driver evidence: no · None of FGFR3, KIT, PDGFRB has somatic-mutation evidence in chronic progressive multiple sclerosisRule: Open Targets has somatic-mutation evidence for the target in this cancer. Source: Open Targets: FGFR3 in chronic progressive multiple sclerosis, 2026-11-11
- Human genetic evidence: no · No germline or somatic evidence for FGFR3, KIT, PDGFRB in chronic progressive multiple sclerosisRule: Any germline or somatic human genetic evidence for the target in this cancer, counted apart from animal-model and literature evidence. Source: Open Targets: FGFR3 in chronic progressive multiple sclerosis, 2026-11-11
- Pediatric target: yes · KIT, PDGFRB on the FDA listRule: Target is on FDA's Pediatric Molecular Target List (relevant targets); membership alone neither requires nor waives a study. Source: FDA Pediatric Molecular Target List (Listed as February 2026 on the FDA Pediatric Oncology page; the file served is 9.7.22_the_relevant_molecular_target_list.xlsx, whose Summary of Changes sheet is headed 'SEPTEMBER 2022 UPDATE' (footnote date 2022-09-01)), 2026-11-11
- Haematologic cancer: no · Solid tumourRule: From the indication, or the registry conditions when no indication matches. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05441488, 2026-11-11Published context: Likelihood of approval from phase 1: 7.5% haematologic vs 4.6% solid (BIO / Informa / QLS 2021, 2011–2020). Population-level, not a prediction.
- FGFR3 (via Masitinib): Open Targets has no association between FGFR3 and chronic progressive multiple sclerosis. · Open Targets: FGFR3 in chronic progressive multiple sclerosis
- KIT (via Masitinib): Open Targets has no association between KIT and chronic progressive multiple sclerosis. · Open Targets: KIT in chronic progressive multiple sclerosis
- PDGFRB (via Masitinib): Open Targets has no association between PDGFRB and chronic progressive multiple sclerosis. · Open Targets: PDGFRB in chronic progressive multiple sclerosis
- Not loaded on this app yet: Normal-tissue expression in vital organs. Source: Human Protein Atlas (ticket 36).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Pan-essential in cell lines. Source: DepMap (ticket 36).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Approved drug on this target. Source: Drugs@FDA (ticket 30).
2. Can the result be trusted?
- Randomised: yes · Randomised allocationRule: Registry allocation field. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05441488, 2026-11-11
- Small denominator: no · 800 planned; each patient moves a rate by 100 ÷ 800 = 0.1 pointsRule: Enrolment under 30; the arithmetic is shown, not a benchmark. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05441488, 2026-11-11
- Primary endpoint is overall survival: no · Time to confirmed progressionRule: A registered primary outcome measure names overall survival. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05441488, 2026-11-11Published context: Non-OS primary endpoint: odds ratio 2.79 for a positive phase 3 (Otsuka 2021, 400 phase 3 oncology trials, to 2020). Shown with the next figure: a surrogate is easier to hit, and often a weak guide to survival.Published context: 52% of surrogate-to-OS correlations are low (Prasad 2015, published to 2014). Shown with the figure above.
- Results overdue: no · Primary completion expected 2028-12; not yet dueRule: Primary completion (actual) more than 12 months ago and no results posted to the registry. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05441488, 2026-11-11
- Not loaded on this app yet: Treated and evaluable counts, assessor, confirmed response, follow-up and data cutoff. Source: Readout extraction (ticket 32).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Primary endpoint changed between registry versions. Source: Registry versions in the store (ticket 32).
3. What must it beat?
- Not loaded on this app yet: Control-arm result and approved therapies for the same segment, with label links. Source: Drugs@FDA, FDA labels and readouts (tickets 30, 32).
4. Too crowded, or too late?
- Stopped on this target: 151 terminated, withdrawn or suspended trials of drugs against FGFR3; 17 give no reason. Reasons are quoted as the registry gives them on the target page. · FGFR3: what already stopped
- Not loaded on this app yet: Programs on the target by phase and months behind the leader. Source: Programs and Drugs@FDA (ticket 33).
5. Can it be approved, and stay approved?
- Single-country: no · 37 sites in 8 countries; 0 in the United States (0%)Rule: All listed sites are in one country; the share of US sites is shown. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05441488, 2026-11-11
- EU paediatric investigation plan: yes · EMEA-001266-PIP04-19 (Masitinib mesilate, Treatment of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis): W: decision granting a waiver in all age groups for all conditions or indications, 3 Jan 2020; EMEA-001266-PIP02-14 (Masitinib mesilate, Treatment of mastocytosis): W: decision granting a waiver in all age groups for all conditions or indications, 8 May 2015; EMEA-001266-PIP01-12 (Masitinib mesilate, Treatment of gastro-intestinal stromal tumours): W: decision granting a waiver in all age groups for all conditions or indications, 1 Jun 2012Rule: An EMA PIP decision (agreement, modification or waiver) lists the drug as its active substance, exact name. Source: EMA data download (dated snapshot), 2026-11-11
- EU orphan designation: yes · EU/3/16/1722 positive 29 Aug 2016: Treatment of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis; EU/3/09/684 positive 28 Oct 2009: Treatment of pancreatic cancer; EU/3/04/242 positive 16 Nov 2004: Treatment of mastocytosisRule: An EU orphan designation lists the drug as its active substance (exact name) or belongs to a medicine that does; withdrawn and expired designations are listed with their status. Source: EMA data download (dated snapshot), 2026-11-11
- Authorised in the EU: no · Masitinib AB Science: refused, orphan medicine; Alsitek: refused, orphan medicine; Masipro: refused, orphan medicine; Masiviera: refused, orphan medicine; +1 moreRule: An EMA medicine record lists the drug as its active substance or INN, exact name; national-only authorisations are not in this file. Source: EMA data download (dated snapshot), 2026-11-11
- FDA orphan designation: not published · FDA's orphan designation database turns away automated requests, so this app does not read it; search it by hand at the linkRule: Would be: an FDA orphan designation names the drug. Source: FDA orphan designations search
- FDA pediatric oncology approval: no · FDA's table lists no pediatric approval of MasitinibRule: FDA's Pediatric Oncology Drug Approvals table names the drug. Source: FDA Pediatric Oncology Drug Approvals (content current as of 2026-03-03), 2026-11-11
- Registered studies open to children: no · No interventional study of Masitinib includes patients under 18Rule: The registry's age group includes Child (birth to 17 years), which also counts studies that set no minimum age. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov search, 2026-11-11
- Caveat: Site counts are not patients per country, and trials registered only outside ClinicalTrials.gov are not covered. Where the sites are is a fact about the record, not a judgement of its quality.
- Rare pediatric disease voucher: FDA, content current as of 29 Apr 2026: “As of February 3, 2026, enactment of the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2026, the rare pediatric disease PRV program will sunset after September 30, 2029. FDA may not award any PRVs under this program after September 30, 2029.” Voucher sale prices are not shown here; they appear only as company-reported news. · FDA: Rare Pediatric Disease Designation and Priority Review Voucher Programs
- Not loaded on this app yet: Precedent approvals for target, modality and endpoint; accelerated-approval status. Source: Drugs@FDA and FDA accelerated-approval tables (ticket 30).
6. Can the sponsor finish?
- Sponsor: AB Science (industry) · ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05441488
- principal investigator: Patrick VERMERSCH, MD, PhD, University of Lille, CHU of Lille, France · Person page
- Not loaded on this app yet: Filed cash, quarterly spend and the runway arithmetic. Source: SEC XBRL company facts (ticket 37).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Sponsor's completed vs stopped oncology trials and results-reporting record. Source: Registry, by company (ticket 37).
What public data cannot tell you
Public records cannot show: sales forecasts; a probability of success for this asset; full deal terms and net prices; FDA designations and action dates before approval (shown only as company-reported); clinical holds unless the company disclosed them; manufacturing; patents on unapproved drugs; whether preclinical findings have been replicated.
Sources: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05441488 (2026-11-11); Open Targets Platform (2026-11-11); FDA Pediatric Molecular Target List (Listed as February 2026 on the FDA Pediatric Oncology page; the file served is 9.7.22_the_relevant_molecular_target_list.xlsx, whose Summary of Changes sheet is headed 'SEPTEMBER 2022 UPDATE' (footnote date 2022-09-01)) (2026-11-11). JSON: /api/brief/trial/NCT05441488. Not medical advice.