Decision brief · what the records say, not our assessment
Randomized Trial in Adult de Novo Ph Positive ALL With Chemotherapy, Imatinib or Ponatinib, Blinatumomab and SCT
NCT06061094 · Goethe University · PHASE2 · recruiting · Childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia · Open Targets disease: childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia
Six questions a reader deciding whether to spend more time on this asks, each answered with flags: yes, no, or not published (hatched), each with its rule and source record. Flags are never added up into a score or a verdict, because published success rates disagree by a factor of two and more.
1. Is the biology right?
- Somatic driver evidence: no · None of ABL1, PDGFRB, KIT, BCR, CD3E, CD3G, CD3D has somatic-mutation evidence in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemiaRule: Open Targets has somatic-mutation evidence for the target in this cancer. Source: Open Targets: ABL1 in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia, 2026-11-11
- Human genetic evidence: no · No germline or somatic evidence for ABL1, PDGFRB, KIT, BCR, CD3E, CD3G, CD3D in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemiaRule: Any germline or somatic human genetic evidence for the target in this cancer, counted apart from animal-model and literature evidence. Source: Open Targets: ABL1 in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia, 2026-11-11
- Pediatric target: yes · ABL1, PDGFRB, KIT on the FDA listRule: Target is on FDA's Pediatric Molecular Target List (relevant targets); membership alone neither requires nor waives a study. Source: FDA Pediatric Molecular Target List (Listed as February 2026 on the FDA Pediatric Oncology page; the file served is 9.7.22_the_relevant_molecular_target_list.xlsx, whose Summary of Changes sheet is headed 'SEPTEMBER 2022 UPDATE' (footnote date 2022-09-01)), 2026-11-11
- Haematologic cancer: yes · HaematologicRule: From the indication, or the registry conditions when no indication matches. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06061094, 2026-11-11Published context: Likelihood of approval from phase 1: 7.5% haematologic vs 4.6% solid (BIO / Informa / QLS 2021, 2011–2020). Population-level, not a prediction.
- ABL1 (via Imatinib): Open Targets has no association between ABL1 and childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia. · Open Targets: ABL1 in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia
- PDGFRB (via Imatinib): Open Targets has no association between PDGFRB and childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia. · Open Targets: PDGFRB in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia
- KIT (via Imatinib): Open Targets has no association between KIT and childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia. · Open Targets: KIT in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia
- BCR (via Ponatinib): Open Targets has no association between BCR and childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia. · Open Targets: BCR in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia
- CD3E (via Blinatumomab): Open Targets has no association between CD3E and childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia. · Open Targets: CD3E in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia
- CD3G (via Blinatumomab): Open Targets has no association between CD3G and childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia. · Open Targets: CD3G in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia
- CD3D (via Blinatumomab): Open Targets has no association between CD3D and childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia. · Open Targets: CD3D in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia
- Not loaded on this app yet: Normal-tissue expression in vital organs. Source: Human Protein Atlas (ticket 36).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Pan-essential in cell lines. Source: DepMap (ticket 36).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Approved drug on this target. Source: Drugs@FDA (ticket 30).
2. Can the result be trusted?
- Randomised: yes · Randomised allocationRule: Registry allocation field. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06061094, 2026-11-11
- Small denominator: no · 220 planned; each patient moves a rate by 100 ÷ 220 = 0.5 pointsRule: Enrolment under 30; the arithmetic is shown, not a benchmark. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06061094, 2026-11-11
- Primary endpoint is overall survival: yes · OS in MolCR patients treated with TKI-Chemo-Blina versus (vs) EOT with indication for SCT (Standard of Care)Rule: A registered primary outcome measure names overall survival. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06061094, 2026-11-11
- Results overdue: no · Primary completion expected 2029-07-01; not yet dueRule: Primary completion (actual) more than 12 months ago and no results posted to the registry. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06061094, 2026-11-11
- Not loaded on this app yet: Treated and evaluable counts, assessor, confirmed response, follow-up and data cutoff. Source: Readout extraction (ticket 32).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Primary endpoint changed between registry versions. Source: Registry versions in the store (ticket 32).
3. What must it beat?
- Not loaded on this app yet: Control-arm result and approved therapies for the same segment, with label links. Source: Drugs@FDA, FDA labels and readouts (tickets 30, 32).
4. Too crowded, or too late?
- Stopped on this target: 300 terminated, withdrawn or suspended trials of drugs against ABL1; 16 of the 200 most recent give no reason. Reasons are quoted as the registry gives them on the target page. · ABL1: what already stopped
- Not loaded on this app yet: Programs on the target by phase and months behind the leader. Source: Programs and Drugs@FDA (ticket 33).
5. Can it be approved, and stay approved?
- Single-country: yes · All 85 sites in GermanyRule: All listed sites are in one country; the share of US sites is shown. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06061094, 2026-11-11
- EU paediatric investigation plan: yes · EMA/PE/0000261034 (ponatinib, Treatment of chronic myeloid leukaemia;Treatment of Philadelphia chromosome positive acute lymphoblastic leukaemia): PM: decision on the application for modification of an agreed PIP, 28 Apr 2025; EMA/PE/0000221213 (blinatumomab, Treatment of B-lymphoblastic leukaemia/lymphoma): PM: decision on the application for modification of an agreed PIP, 3 Jan 2025; EMEA-000574-PIP02-12-M04 (blinatumomab, Treatment of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia): PM: decision on the application for modification of an agreed PIP, 27 Oct 2023; compliance positive 23 Feb 2024; EMEA-002643-PIP01-19-M01 (imatinib, Treatment of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia;Treatment of chronic myeloid leukaemia): PM: decision on the application for modification of an agreed PIP, 29 Oct 2021; +2 moreRule: An EMA PIP decision (agreement, modification or waiver) lists the drug as its active substance, exact name. Source: EMA data download (dated snapshot), 2026-11-11
- EU orphan designation: yes · EU/3/21/2449 positive 21 Jun 2021: Treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension; EU/3/09/715 expired 2 Feb 2010: Treatment of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia; EU/3/09/716 expired 2 Feb 2010: Treatment of chronic myeloid leukaemia; EU/3/14/1421 withdrawn 15 Jan 2015: Treatment of gastrointestinal stromal tumours; +11 moreRule: An EU orphan designation lists the drug as its active substance (exact name) or belongs to a medicine that does; withdrawn and expired designations are listed with their status. Source: EMA data download (dated snapshot), 2026-11-11
- Authorised in the EU: yes · Glivec: authorised since 7 Nov 2001; Blincyto: authorised since 23 Nov 2015, orphan medicine; Iclusig: authorised since 1 Jul 2013; Imatinib Accord: authorised since 30 Jun 2013; +6 moreRule: An EMA medicine record lists the drug as its active substance or INN, exact name; national-only authorisations are not in this file. Source: EMA data download (dated snapshot), 2026-11-11
- FDA orphan designation: not published · FDA's orphan designation database turns away automated requests, so this app does not read it; search it by hand at the linkRule: Would be: an FDA orphan designation names the drug. Source: FDA orphan designations search
- FDA pediatric oncology approval: yes · Imatinib Mesylate [Gleevec] &, 25 Jan 2013: Pediatric patients with newly diagnosed Philadelphia chromosome positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia (Ph+ ALL) in combination with chemotherapy; Imatinib Mesylate [Gleevec] &, 27 Sept 2006: Newly diagnosed adult and pediatric patients with Philadelphia chromosome positive chronic myeloid leukemia (Ph+ CML) in chronic phase; Blinatumomab [Blincyto], 14 Jun 2024: Treatment of CD19-positive Philadelphia chromosome-negative B-cell precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) in the consolidation phase of multiphase chemotherapy in adult and pediatric patients one month and older; +2 moreRule: FDA's Pediatric Oncology Drug Approvals table names the drug. Source: FDA Pediatric Oncology Drug Approvals (content current as of 2026-03-03), 2026-11-11
- Registered studies open to children: yes · 202 interventional studies of Imatinib, Ponatinib, Blinatumomab include patients under 18; 67 are recruiting, not yet recruiting or activeRule: The registry's age group includes Child (birth to 17 years), which also counts studies that set no minimum age. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov search, 2026-11-11
- Caveat: Site counts are not patients per country, and trials registered only outside ClinicalTrials.gov are not covered. Where the sites are is a fact about the record, not a judgement of its quality.
- Cited case: In February 2022 FDA asked its Oncologic Drugs Advisory Committee whether sintilimab's application, resting on ORIENT-11, a phase 3 run only in China, needed further trials showing it applies to US patients and US practice. One case, not a rule. · FDA, ODAC 10 Feb 2022, draft questions
- Rare pediatric disease voucher: FDA, content current as of 29 Apr 2026: “As of February 3, 2026, enactment of the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2026, the rare pediatric disease PRV program will sunset after September 30, 2029. FDA may not award any PRVs under this program after September 30, 2029.” Voucher sale prices are not shown here; they appear only as company-reported news. · FDA: Rare Pediatric Disease Designation and Priority Review Voucher Programs
- Not loaded on this app yet: Precedent approvals for target, modality and endpoint; accelerated-approval status. Source: Drugs@FDA and FDA accelerated-approval tables (ticket 30).
6. Can the sponsor finish?
- Sponsor: Goethe University (academic or other) · ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06061094
- principal investigator: Nicola Goekbuget, MD, Department of Medicine, Hematology and Oncology, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany · Person page
- principal investigator: Fabian Lang, MD, Department of Medicine, Hematology and Oncology, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany · Person page
- principal investigator: Heike Pfeifer, MD, Department of Medicine, Hematology and Oncology, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany · Person page
- Not loaded on this app yet: Filed cash, quarterly spend and the runway arithmetic. Source: SEC XBRL company facts (ticket 37).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Sponsor's completed vs stopped oncology trials and results-reporting record. Source: Registry, by company (ticket 37).
What public data cannot tell you
Public records cannot show: sales forecasts; a probability of success for this asset; full deal terms and net prices; FDA designations and action dates before approval (shown only as company-reported); clinical holds unless the company disclosed them; manufacturing; patents on unapproved drugs; whether preclinical findings have been replicated.
Sources: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06061094 (2026-11-11); Open Targets Platform (2026-11-11); FDA Pediatric Molecular Target List (Listed as February 2026 on the FDA Pediatric Oncology page; the file served is 9.7.22_the_relevant_molecular_target_list.xlsx, whose Summary of Changes sheet is headed 'SEPTEMBER 2022 UPDATE' (footnote date 2022-09-01)) (2026-11-11). JSON: /api/brief/trial/NCT06061094. Not medical advice.