Decision brief · what the records say, not our assessment
Refractory Advanced diGestive Neuroendocrine Carcinomas Treated With tARlatamab
NCT07061080 · Grupo Espanol de Tumores Neuroendocrinos · PHASE2 · terminated · Open Targets disease: digestive system neuroendocrine neoplasm · Why it stopped
Six questions a reader deciding whether to spend more time on this asks, each answered with flags: yes, no, or not published (hatched), each with its rule and source record. Flags are never added up into a score or a verdict, because published success rates disagree by a factor of two and more.
1. Is the biology right?
- Somatic driver evidence: no · None of CD3E, CD3G, CD3D has somatic-mutation evidence in digestive system neuroendocrine neoplasmRule: Open Targets has somatic-mutation evidence for the target in this cancer. Source: Open Targets: CD3E in digestive system neuroendocrine neoplasm, 2026-11-11
- Human genetic evidence: no · No germline or somatic evidence for CD3E, CD3G, CD3D in digestive system neuroendocrine neoplasmRule: Any germline or somatic human genetic evidence for the target in this cancer, counted apart from animal-model and literature evidence. Source: Open Targets: CD3E in digestive system neuroendocrine neoplasm, 2026-11-11
- Pediatric target: no · Not on the FDA listRule: Target is on FDA's Pediatric Molecular Target List (relevant targets); membership alone neither requires nor waives a study. Source: FDA Pediatric Molecular Target List (Listed as February 2026 on the FDA Pediatric Oncology page; the file served is 9.7.22_the_relevant_molecular_target_list.xlsx, whose Summary of Changes sheet is headed 'SEPTEMBER 2022 UPDATE' (footnote date 2022-09-01)), 2026-11-11
- Haematologic cancer: no · Solid tumourRule: From the indication, or the registry conditions when no indication matches. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT07061080, 2026-11-11Published context: Likelihood of approval from phase 1: 7.5% haematologic vs 4.6% solid (BIO / Informa / QLS 2021, 2011–2020). Population-level, not a prediction.
- CD3E (via Tarlatamab): Open Targets has no association between CD3E and digestive system neuroendocrine neoplasm. · Open Targets: CD3E in digestive system neuroendocrine neoplasm
- CD3G (via Tarlatamab): Open Targets has no association between CD3G and digestive system neuroendocrine neoplasm. · Open Targets: CD3G in digestive system neuroendocrine neoplasm
- CD3D (via Tarlatamab): Open Targets has no association between CD3D and digestive system neuroendocrine neoplasm. · Open Targets: CD3D in digestive system neuroendocrine neoplasm
- Not loaded on this app yet: Normal-tissue expression in vital organs. Source: Human Protein Atlas (ticket 36).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Pan-essential in cell lines. Source: DepMap (ticket 36).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Approved drug on this target. Source: Drugs@FDA (ticket 30).
2. Can the result be trusted?
- Randomised: yes · Randomised allocationRule: Registry allocation field. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT07061080, 2026-11-11
- Small denominator: yes · 1 enrolled; each patient moves a rate by 100 ÷ 1 = 100.0 pointsRule: Enrolment under 30; the arithmetic is shown, not a benchmark. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT07061080, 2026-11-11
- Primary endpoint is overall survival: yes · Progression-free Survival (PFS) rate; Overall Survival (OS) rate at 12-monthsRule: A registered primary outcome measure names overall survival. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT07061080, 2026-11-11
- Results overdue: no · Primary completion 2026-09-03, 2 months ago; within 12 monthsRule: Primary completion (actual) more than 12 months ago and no results posted to the registry. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT07061080, 2026-11-11
- Not loaded on this app yet: Treated and evaluable counts, assessor, confirmed response, follow-up and data cutoff. Source: Readout extraction (ticket 32).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Primary endpoint changed between registry versions. Source: Registry versions in the store (ticket 32).
3. What must it beat?
- Not loaded on this app yet: Control-arm result and approved therapies for the same segment, with label links. Source: Drugs@FDA, FDA labels and readouts (tickets 30, 32).
4. Too crowded, or too late?
- Stopped on this target: 87 terminated, withdrawn or suspended trials of drugs against CD3E; 9 give no reason. Reasons are quoted as the registry gives them on the target page. · CD3E: what already stopped
- Not loaded on this app yet: Programs on the target by phase and months behind the leader. Source: Programs and Drugs@FDA (ticket 33).
5. Can it be approved, and stay approved?
- Single-country: no · 19 sites in 2 countries; 0 in the United States (0%)Rule: All listed sites are in one country; the share of US sites is shown. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT07061080, 2026-11-11
- EU paediatric investigation plan: yes · EMEA-003138-PIP01-21 (tarlatamab, Treatment of prostate malignant neoplasms;Treatment of small cell lung cancer): W: decision granting a waiver in all age groups for all conditions or indications, 11 Mar 2022Rule: An EMA PIP decision (agreement, modification or waiver) lists the drug as its active substance, exact name. Source: EMA EMEA-003138-PIP01-21, 2026-11-11
- EU orphan designation: yes · EU/3/23/2876 positive 12 Jan 2024: Treatment of small cell lung cancerRule: An EU orphan designation lists the drug as its active substance (exact name) or belongs to a medicine that does; withdrawn and expired designations are listed with their status. Source: EMA EU/3/23/2876, 2026-11-11
- Authorised in the EU: yes · Imdylltra: authorised since 29 May 2026, orphan medicineRule: An EMA medicine record lists the drug as its active substance or INN, exact name; national-only authorisations are not in this file. Source: EMA EPAR Imdylltra, 2026-11-11
- FDA orphan designation: not published · FDA's orphan designation database turns away automated requests, so this app does not read it; search it by hand at the linkRule: Would be: an FDA orphan designation names the drug. Source: FDA orphan designations search
- FDA pediatric oncology approval: no · FDA's table lists no pediatric approval of TarlatamabRule: FDA's Pediatric Oncology Drug Approvals table names the drug. Source: FDA Pediatric Oncology Drug Approvals (content current as of 2026-03-03), 2026-11-11
- Registered studies open to children: yes · 1 interventional studies of Tarlatamab include patients under 18; 1 is recruiting, not yet recruiting or activeRule: The registry's age group includes Child (birth to 17 years), which also counts studies that set no minimum age. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov search, 2026-11-11
- Caveat: Site counts are not patients per country, and trials registered only outside ClinicalTrials.gov are not covered. Where the sites are is a fact about the record, not a judgement of its quality.
- Rare pediatric disease voucher: FDA, content current as of 29 Apr 2026: “As of February 3, 2026, enactment of the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2026, the rare pediatric disease PRV program will sunset after September 30, 2029. FDA may not award any PRVs under this program after September 30, 2029.” Voucher sale prices are not shown here; they appear only as company-reported news. · FDA: Rare Pediatric Disease Designation and Priority Review Voucher Programs
- Not loaded on this app yet: Precedent approvals for target, modality and endpoint; accelerated-approval status. Source: Drugs@FDA and FDA accelerated-approval tables (ticket 30).
6. Can the sponsor finish?
- Sponsor: Grupo Espanol de Tumores Neuroendocrinos (academic or other) · ClinicalTrials.gov NCT07061080
- study chair: Jaume Capdevila, M.D., Ph.D., Hospital Vall d'hebrón · Person page
- Not loaded on this app yet: Filed cash, quarterly spend and the runway arithmetic. Source: SEC XBRL company facts (ticket 37).
- Not loaded on this app yet: Sponsor's completed vs stopped oncology trials and results-reporting record. Source: Registry, by company (ticket 37).
What public data cannot tell you
Public records cannot show: sales forecasts; a probability of success for this asset; full deal terms and net prices; FDA designations and action dates before approval (shown only as company-reported); clinical holds unless the company disclosed them; manufacturing; patents on unapproved drugs; whether preclinical findings have been replicated.
Sources: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT07061080 (2026-11-11); Open Targets Platform (2026-11-11); FDA Pediatric Molecular Target List (Listed as February 2026 on the FDA Pediatric Oncology page; the file served is 9.7.22_the_relevant_molecular_target_list.xlsx, whose Summary of Changes sheet is headed 'SEPTEMBER 2022 UPDATE' (footnote date 2022-09-01)) (2026-11-11). JSON: /api/brief/trial/NCT07061080. Not medical advice.